Leading up to India’s practice session in Dubai, cricket veterans Rohit Sharma and Gautam Gambhir engaged in a focused discussion, likely strategizing for the crucial final against New Zealand. The conversation might have revolved around key New Zealand players such as Kane Williamson, Mitchell Santner, Matt Henry, and particularly the rising star, Rachin Ravindra.
Rachin Ravindra, the impressive 25-year-old all-rounder, has rapidly ascended in international cricket, prompting speculation about his potential in the coming years. His five ODI centuries in ICC events within just 18 months surpass even the achievements of New Zealand legend Kane Williamson, highlighting the urgent need for India to dismiss him early, before he can dominate the game. Notably, he enters this match fresh off a match-winning century against South Africa in the semi-final.
Matt Henry’s presence could evoke memories of the 2019 Manchester match, where his early breakthroughs destabilized India’s batting order. India’s top order must resist his early attacks, reminiscent of both that Manchester game and a recent league match. Despite rumors of a possible injury, India is undoubtedly preparing to face a fully fit Henry.
Kane Williamson’s experience is proving invaluable, as he performs with increased freedom and confidence without the pressures of captaincy. He poses a significant challenge to India’s bowlers, and his early dismissal, whether by pace or spin, will be critical. Like Ravindra, he also scored a century in the semi-final.
Mitchell Santner, a subtle yet effective spinner, represents another threat, capable of restricting batsmen with his control. His duel with Virat Kohli, who has occasionally shown vulnerability against quality spin bowling, will be particularly interesting.
New Zealand’s exceptional fielding is another important aspect of the game. The match could well become a battle between India’s strong batting lineup and New Zealand’s outstanding fielders, known for their athleticism and anticipation, which can be game-changing. Few teams can match New Zealand’s fielding prowess, making it a potentially decisive factor in the final.
With minimal dew expected, the toss might not be overwhelmingly important, although New Zealand may prefer to bat first to challenge Varun Chakravarthy’s spin. India appears comfortable with either batting first or chasing, so the toss outcome is unlikely to significantly dictate their strategy.
While India is perceived as the stronger team, history in ICC tournaments suggests New Zealand often outperforms expectations against them in these high-stakes matches.
Team News:
India’s recent strategy involves two pacers and four spinners, leveraging Hardik Pandya’s new-ball capabilities. This lineup, featuring Varun Chakaravarthy as the fourth spinner, seems well-suited to Dubai conditions, and changes to this winning combination are unlikely.
There might be consideration to replace Kuldeep Yadav, who hasn’t been at his best in the last two games, with a pacer like Harshit Rana or Arshdeep Singh. However, Rohit Sharma is known for backing proven players.
Probable XI: Rohit Sharma (c), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (wk), Hardik Pandya, Axar Patel, Ravindra Jadeja, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Shami and Varun Chakaravarthy.
New Zealand
New Zealand is also expected to field a similar XI to their semi-final winning team, with Devon Conway likely remaining on the bench. Their squad includes four spinners – Mitchell Santner, Michael Bracewell, Glenn Phillips, and Rachin Ravindra – indicating their readiness for the conditions.
Matt Henry’s shoulder concern from the semi-final is being monitored. While he is expected to be available, Nathan Smith or Jacob Duffy are potential replacements if needed. There might be temptation to include Devon Conway to counter India’s left-arm spin options, but Will Young is likely to retain his place based on recent form and his Test performances in India.
Probable XI: Will Young, Rachin Ravindra, Kane Williamson, Tom Latham(wk), Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner(c), Kyle Jamieson, William ORourke, Matt Henry/Nathan Smith
Interesting Facts:
– New Zealand holds a 3-1 advantage over India in ICC knockout matches.
– Rohit Sharma is the first captain to reach the final of all four Men’s ICC tournaments.
– New Zealand’s spinners have been effective recently, except against India.
– Virat Kohli is close to becoming the second-highest ODI run-scorer.
– Kane Williamson has a strong scoring record against India in his recent innings.
– Pacers and spinners have taken an equal number of wickets in the tournament in Dubai.
Quotes:
– Sitanshu Kotak (India batting coach) on perceived home advantage: Dismisses the idea of undue advantage, emphasizing the need to play good cricket regardless of venue.
– Gary Stead (New Zealand head coach) on India’s advantage: Acknowledges India playing in Dubai but focuses on their team’s ability to learn and perform in a one-off final.
